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QUID · MICHIGAN U.S. SENATE · OCT 15 - OCT 21, 2026
Michigan is the loudest race on this site and the deepest. It carries 1.7M posts across seven days and 47,000 stored documents, more than any other page here. Mike Rogers reads −3.0 in Michigan and −0.1 nationally, both sitting on top of zero; Abdul El-Sayed reads −31.5 and −31.6. Almost none of his volume is about what he has proposed: the week was about his religion and his name, and his figure fell to −64.9 on the Saturday before recovering once he answered.
Published polling, shown to set context. A poll asks a sample of voters which candidate they intend to support. Everything else on this page measures something different: the balance of positive and negative labeled posts about each candidate in the captured conversation. A candidate can lead the vote and still take the worse of the argument online, and where the two diverge this page explains the conversation, not the electorate.
El-Sayed leads the polling average by about 4 points while reading −31.5 in Michigan and −31.6 nationally, almost identical figures. Rogers sits on zero in both columns, at −3.0 and −0.1. This is the loudest and deepest page on the site, at 47,000 stored documents.
Net sentiment runs on the left axis from −100 to +100. Gold bars carry total daily volume for both candidates combined; hover any bar for the narratives driving that day. El-Sayed's line is negative on all seven days and never crosses zero. Rogers crosses three times, reaching +39.7 on the Thursday, the day El-Sayed sits at −40.0, and ending at −23.4, his own floor. The two lines converge through the middle of the week and both fall on the last day.
Both figures cover posts that resolve to Michigan. Net sentiment runs from −100 to +100 and counts only posts a classifier labeled, about a tenth of this very large corpus.
Michigan
5,395 unique authors · 590 original posts
(4% of volume; the rest are reposts and replies).
Sentiment from 4,700 labeled posts, 30.8% of this slice; stored sample behind the labels 470 documents.
The warm in-state material about Rogers is a statement of intent rather than an argument. On a page this loud, the in-state positive column is the quietest thing on it.
RT @TheJewishIdea: I am a Michigander and I will proudly be voting for Mike Rogers.
BigsisrachelOct 16Source
The in-state material scored positive for Rogers includes a flat answer to a question about labor: no major union endorsements, and backing instead from a rank-and-file coalition organized around the president. It sits in his warm column because it names him, not because it argues for him.
RT @grok: @IncognitoBanski @TallJohnSilver @MichiganDems Mike Rogers has no major labor union endorsements in the 2026 Michigan Senate race. He is backed by the Auto Workers for Trump coalition of rank-and-file workers. Abdul El-Sayed has endorsements from
Mary DOct 16Source
The in-state argument against El-Sayed that Rogers's side pressed hardest is about who funds him. It sits in this slice because the posts making it name Rogers as the one exposing it.
RT @truthout: Democrats for Mike Rogers, a group that has spent millions of dollars to defeat Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed, is funded by Republican-aligned organizations, campaign finance records show. https://t.co/JPh3jImwmM
thesaurusOct 18Source
Michigan
10,537 unique authors · 740 original posts
(2% of volume; the rest are reposts and replies).
Sentiment from 6,040 labeled posts, 17.4% of this slice; stored sample behind the labels 604 documents.
The warmest in-state material about El-Sayed this week is not about policy at all: a short clip of him sharing snacks with an entertainment outlet's crew in a Detroit parking lot. On a page this heavy with argument, that is what Michigan passed around approvingly.
RT @jacob_wass: Abdul El-Sayed shares spicy popcorn and Gatorade with TMZ DC at a Detroit parking lot https://t.co/3CA98gfqvH
Spencer HayesOct 15Source
The in-state charge that travels furthest is about where he raises money rather than about what he would do with the seat. It is checkable and local, which is why it outlasts the louder attacks.
If Benson and El Sayed are supposed to represent Michigan, why are they living in California and New York to raise money? Because Michigan wants nothing to do with them. Jocelyn Benson has held 33 fundraisers - only 14 in Michigan. SEVEN in California alone.
MAGA DonOct 17Source
The in-state posts scored against El-Sayed are largely his opponent's advertising, and the policy spot repeats most often: a flat assertion that his health plan does not work. It is a campaign claim and is recorded here as material that circulated.
RT @MikeRogersForMI: It’s simple: @AbdulElSayed’s Medicare for All plan DOESN’T WORK. https://t.co/jfXv7I0pGA
𝓟𝓻𝓸𝓾𝓭 𝓗𝓮𝓻𝓲𝓽𝓪𝓰𝓮 𝓐𝓶𝓮𝓻𝓲𝓬𝓪𝓷Oct 19Source
The same week reads differently depending on where you stand. Net sentiment is plotted from Michigan on the left to the rest of the country on the right; the solid line counts every post naming a candidate, the dashed line counts only posts that name that candidate and not the other.
All posts naming the candidate Posts naming that candidate only
Rogers reads 2.9 points worse in Michigan than nationally, which is no gap at all, and both figures sit on zero. The single-subject test lifts his national figure to +13.6 and leaves his Michigan one just below the line.
El-Sayed reads 0.2 points better at home than nationally, which is no gap at all. The single-subject test lifts both figures by a few points. Michigan and the country are saying almost exactly the same thing about him.
Geography, not party. Both columns cover the same week and the same two candidates; what separates them is which arguments actually travel.
In-state posts are overwhelmingly about ninety minutes on Thursday night: an exchange about October 7, a question about funding, and an answer delivered to the camera rather than to the opponent.
National posts reduce the debate to a single foreign policy question and his refusal to rank two threats. Around it sits a large volume of openly racist material that makes no argument and is counted here anyway.
The same two candidates over the same seven days, measured across every state except Michigan. At 1.6M posts it is the largest national slice on the site.
Rest of United States
175,079 unique authors · 9,645 original posts
(3% of volume; the rest are reposts and replies).
Sentiment from 151,541 labeled posts, 40.0% of this slice; stored sample behind the labels 17,451 documents.
Rogers's favorable national material is the defection format: lifelong Democrats said to be crossing over, reported second-hand. It is a claim about the other side rather than about Rogers, and it is the most repeated positive item he has.
RT @EYakoby: NYT journalist confirms that across the state, lifelong Democrats in Michigan are voting for Mike Rogers. https://t.co/Y9MmOlUYbC
Kitty Kitty😂Oct 21Source
The most circulated item in Rogers's negative national column is an audio recording his opponents say shows him defending keeping a set of files sealed. What is on the recording is those posts' characterization of it, and this page does not establish it.
RT @ImBreckWorsham: In leaked audio, GOP Senate Candidate Mike Rogers admits he blocked the Epstein files to protect Epstein's friends: “The court of public opinion would ruin their life for no reason... You don't want to hurt that person's career or
Kristy PullenOct 21Source
Rest of United States
478,694 unique authors · 33,060 original posts
(3% of volume; the rest are reposts and replies).
Sentiment from 213,516 labeled posts, 17.4% of this slice; stored sample behind the labels 27,986 documents.
The most repeated national material against El-Sayed is his opponent's assertion that his politics are a threat to national security. It is a campaign claim, repeated verbatim across accounts, and it carries a large share of the column.
RT @MikeRogersForMI: Abdul El-Sayed’s radical ideology is a threat to our national security. https://t.co/xFeRgyW6xd
Louis MolinaOct 21Source
The second thread is a claim that his primary campaign leaned on surveys since reported as fabricated. The characterization belongs to the committee making it, and this page records that it circulated rather than that it is established.
RT @DemsForMike: FRAUD ALERT: In the primary, Abdul El-Sayed relied heavily on FAKE Wedgewood polls showing he could beat Mike Rogers in the General Election. The polling showed he was up 15% against Stevens. He won by less than a point. Ignore the noise.
miss eddieOct 21Source
The warmest national material about El-Sayed is short and unelaborated. On a slice this large the positive side is carried by brief declarations rather than by any sustained case for him.
El-Sayed is great! Please vote for him, Michigan! You’re so lucky to have such an awesome candidate who actually cares about this country. 💙🇺🇸👏
No-Relation5965Oct 18Source
This page is the product of two different kinds of work. One half is data that no public API makes available; the other half is judgment about what the data does and does not support.
None of the following could be assembled from public endpoints inside a week.
The data does not interpret itself, and it arrives with traps in it.
Neither half can establish cause. This page measures what was said, how much of it there was, and who said it. It is not a poll, it does not model turnout, and it does not predict the November result.
primary: sentiment targeting, so the sentiment is scored toward that named figure rather
than toward the post as a whole. Every figure on this page reads that same definition.